Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 6.112084 6.973835 7.924803 9.053930 10.360454 11.827556 13.603796
2025-05-25 4.883255 5.982921 7.293529 8.977467 11.093451 13.676934 17.089557
2025-06-01 4.096785 5.285002 6.782801 8.822521 11.548039 15.092477 20.096758
2025-06-08 3.525751 4.740230 6.341774 8.628276 11.841290 16.243403 22.813961
2025-06-15 3.274610 4.567534 6.342643 8.987060 12.876636 18.465917 27.247516
2025-06-22 2.992985 4.309913 6.182454 9.077836 13.511399 20.157684 31.090403
2025-06-29 2.719208 4.027933 5.947724 9.016742 13.889523 21.479582 34.498783
2025-07-06 2.476254 3.763280 5.705510 8.906435 14.160689 22.640041 37.762828
2025-07-13 2.358204 3.675320 5.719256 9.191003 15.081885 24.931827 43.202977
2025-07-20 2.236374 3.567681 5.687880 9.391948 15.875339 27.084301 48.665572
2025-07-27 2.156194 3.518334 5.742902 9.737456 16.945405 29.823937 55.552413
2025-08-03 1.982683 3.297821 5.492090 9.525722 16.996810 30.729620 59.057419
2025-08-10 1.838813 3.117862 5.298294 9.402420 17.207834 31.975214 63.451110
2025-08-17 1.712354 2.957460 5.124347 9.297147 17.439187 33.282147 68.150062
2025-08-24 1.589986 2.793925 4.930189 9.133397 17.535892 34.327340 72.430107
2025-08-31 1.474288 2.633007 4.726927 8.931392 17.531822 35.160810 76.352327
2025-09-07 1.445723 2.629875 4.814550 9.303912 18.731542 38.627513 86.712751
2025-09-14 1.383554 2.558330 4.766171 9.398176 19.357936 40.937556 94.716312
2025-09-21 1.307636 2.454490 4.646756 9.334730 19.637350 42.511636 101.170312
2025-09-28 1.232172 2.345875 4.509273 9.220183 19.790924 43.815201 107.139436
2025-10-05 1.206164 2.333103 4.562037 9.515700 20.895359 47.451775 119.675345
2025-10-12 1.172436 2.302087 4.574784 9.724395 21.821648 50.775788 131.922642
2025-10-19 1.154701 2.302349 4.652019 10.083261 23.140511 55.223734 148.004392